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Research on AI, work, and the architecture of modern intelligence.

We publish three kinds of research: annual benchmarks on where the US economy is on its AI adoption curve, data investigations into the labor market as AI takes hold, and visual essays on the ideas that produced the current moment.

US companies
9,653
Occupations
1,016
WARN filings
12,175

Flagship research

Three essays, three data products

Labor market

April 22, 2026

9-min read

The WARN Layoff Atlas

Twelve thousand US mass-layoff filings, normalized and cross-joined against industry AI adoption — where the cuts are concentrated and what the signal predicts.

Headline finding

Unweighted Pearson r = +0.33 between industry AI adoption score and % of workforce in WARN filings. Each +1 point in industry AI adoption associates with +0.11% of that sector entering WARN filings.
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2026 benchmark

January 15, 2026 · Updated April 10, 2026

14-min read

The State of AI Adoption 2026

Our annual benchmark across 9,691 US companies and 1,016 occupations — adoption score distribution, sector leaders, and the methodology behind every number we publish.

Headline finding

Median US company AI adoption score is 66.7 on a 0–100 scale. Information (NAICS 51) leads at 70.4; Agriculture (NAICS 11) trails at 62.3.
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Visual essay

April 20, 2026

12-min read

The Architecture of Intelligence

A scroll-driven visual journey through 68 years of AI — Perceptron to trillion-parameter transformers. Six architectural eras mapped with methodology and citations.

Headline finding

Every era of AI has collapsed or scaled at a specific architectural inflection. We argue an emerging seventh era — agentic — is forming now.
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How we work

Every number we publish is reproducible. Source data is cited inline; rollups, scoring formulas, and prediction models are open to inspection. We favor publishing null results when the data supports one.

When we run a prediction, the methodology section explains the assumptions, the confidence bounds, and what would have to be true for the finding to generalize.

Work with us on custom research

Benchmark your sector, audit your workforce AI readiness, or commission a private deep-dive. Typical turnaround: 2-4 weeks.

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